TPM2012

Poll: Warren Leads Brown By 3 Points

Poll: Warren Leads Brown By 3 Points

Another new poll of the Massachusetts Senate race shows Democratic former White House financial reform adviser Elizabeth Warren leading the Republican incumbent, Sen. Scott Brown.

The numbers: Warren 46%, Brown 43%. The poll was conducted from February 6-9, and has a ±4.4% margin of error. It was commissioned by the Boston NPR affiliate, and conducted by independent pollster MassINC.

The poll actually shows Brown with a solid personal favorable rating of 50%, to only 29% unfavorable. By comparison, Warren is in positive territory but less well known at a 39%-29% figure. But the fact remains that Brown has a tough hill to climb in this election, just as he did when he was first elected two years ago.

Brown was elected to the Senate in a special election in January 2010, following the death of Sen. Ted Kennedy, in a stunning upset against Democratic state Attorney General Martha Coakley. However, a major challenge for him in 2012 is that he is a Republican senator in a deep-blue state, which is expected to vote Democratic by a wide margin in the presidential race.

The TPM Poll Average currently shows Warren ahead by a margin of 47.1%-42.7%.

2012 Senate, Elizabeth Warren, MA-SEN, Massachusetts, Polls, Scott Brown
Eric Kleefeld

Eric Kleefeld joined TPM as an intern for the final months of the 2006 midterm elections, and then kept showing up for work. His other interests include guitars, old comic books and the politics of various English-speaking countries.

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